Filtered by Market Volatility

  • RISK: Finding the right fit

    Risk typically is defined as the exposure to the possibility of loss or injury, but risk means different things to different people.

  • Delayed not derailed

    In our outlook for 2020, we postulated a pro-growth, pro-cyclical stance was warranted, given the underlying strength of the U.S. economy and the burgeoning signs of a rebound in growth abroad that would provide a favorable setting for risk assets.

  • How you feel matters

    The vast array of information available today should allow consumers and investors consistently to make rational decisions, but as the rapidly developing field of behavioral economics recognizes, emotions influence nearly every economic choice we make.

  • Maintaining our positive outlook despite rising Middle East tensions

    While we are watching Middle East developments closely, we remain optimistic on our outlook for the economy and stocks.

  • US/Iran/Iraq and the fixed income markets

    Fixed income markets are reacting to the recent developments in the Middle East. It is Day 2 for trading in the New Year and already we have seen a shift into flight-to-safety mode that warrants monitoring.

  • Investment principles that endure through any market condition

    Over the long run, a handful of universal investment principles underpin an investor’s success. These principles guide Janney’s investment and wealth-management decision-making processes.

  • The economic and investment implications of the Saudi oil field attacks

    While it is early to get a firm assessment on the impact of rising oil prices and Middle East tensions, we would stress the following points concerning the attacks.

  • A healthy consumer and still optimistic small business bodes well for growth

    Stock market volatility continued last week, with the latest worries centered on falling bond yields and further yield curve inversion—the 30-year Treasury yield dropped below 2%, while 10-year Treasury yields briefly fell below 2-year yields.

  • U-Turn complete; Elapsed time 7.5 months

    As we noted in our May commentary, Jay Powell and friends seemed to be looking for any excuse to cut rates.

  • Outlook 2019: Mid-Year Update

    The Mid-Year Update presents a follow-up to our annual view published last December and affords a chance to make adjustments, if necessary, for what we expect to come during the remainder of the year.

  • What happened to asset class returns in 2018?

    We begin 2019 with a benchmark allocation to risk assets. Despite expecting slower economic growth in 2019, the fourth quarter 2018 financial market pessimism seems excessive – we do not see a recession in the foreseeable future.

  • Update on market volatility and trade tensions

    Last night President Trump opened up a second front on trade by promising a 5% tariff on all Mexican goods by June 10 (rising to 25% by October) if Mexico doesn’t stop the flow of Central American immigrants to the U.S. President Trump invoked the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), which gives the president broad leeway if he certifies a national emergency.

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