Filtered by Markets & Economics

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • The case for infrastructure spending

    President Trump and Congressional Democrats have always agreed on the need for infrastructure investment.

  • A gap year

    In recent years, graduating college seniors looking to continue their education in a professional field often face a so-called “gap year,” as immediate admission to a graduate school often is not possible.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • A melancholy victory lap

    In March, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee cut overnight interest rates back to the zero lower bound, embarked on a massive QE program, and re-launched (and subsequently doubled down on) financial crisis-era lending programs.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • Searching for a turning point

    It appears likely that the U.S. economy faces a recession. For many Americans, the more important issue is how long it might last and how deep it could be.

  • What might the economic recovery look like?

    As the federal government releases protocols to guide the country’s reboot, and states have begun to reopen, or establish near-term timelines for reopening, it is no longer premature to think about what the economic recovery might look like.

  • Coronavirus and the municipal bond market

    The COVID-19 crisis impacted municipal bonds more starkly and surprisingly than many other fixed income sectors.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • Time for a checkup

    The broad-based drop in the equity market off the February 19, 2020, high and the resulting decline in most portfolio values easily could be blamed solely on the virus and its massive economic impact. Investors, however, need to consider whether the overall market drop alone deteriorated their portfolios.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following observations as developments continue to unfold.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following points as developments continue to unfold.

  • Covid testing data: Three steps to "normalcy"

    As of April 2, the American Clinical Lab Association (ACLA) indicated that group members have performed 1,093,000 tests compared to a cumulative total of 27,000 on March 17.

  • Historic crash sites and their aftermath

    In light of the historical declines and technical conditions generated by financial markets over the last few weeks, we took another look at some of the more significant correction cycles and crashes in the stock market’s long history, aligning our current glide path against these periods to uncover possible, not necessarily probable, outcomes going forward. This exercise is not meant to make exacting comparisons or predictions, but to learn from past cycles about what the markets might be capable of in the months ahead.

  • The relationship among oil prices, stocks, and economy

    The recent drop in stock prices has captured the attention of most investors. In a seemingly unrelated issue, a massive oversupply problem created a waterfall-like drop in the price of oil. It might appear that the performance of the S&P 500 and WTI is only coincidental, but history suggests otherwise.

  • Beware of dividends that look too good to be true

    A fundamental tenant of equity income investing is the sustainability of the dividend. A firm must generate sustainable earnings in order to pay a sustainable dividend. Often, a high dividend yield may look very enticing when actually it’s a sign that earnings, and consequently, dividends are about to be cut. This high yield distress signal occurs when the firm’s economic fundamentals are deteriorating.

  • Coronavirus market volatility update

    In lieu of our usual Weekly Bulletin, we are publishing special reports to discuss the market reaction to evolving news on the coronavirus outbreak. We would stress the following points as developments continue to unfold.

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