• Valuation Variables

    In the complex and often confusing investing world, investors seek reference tools to guide them as to what to buy and when to buy it.

  • The Market Selloff in Context

    The S&P 500 Index officially entered bear market territory last week, driven by concerns of slowing economic growth, persistently high inflation, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) determination to get it under control.

  • FOMC Commentary: Fed Moves to Red Alert

    The first rate hike of this cycle in March feels awfully far away. After starting moderately, the FOMC today elected to execute the largest rate hike in more than a quarter century on the backs of rising consumer inflation expectations.

  • What Should Investors Focus On Right Now?

    Of course, investors are paying attention to how their portfolios are responding to inflation and rising interest rates. However, we believe the U.S. economy continues to show positive economic growth—this should allow stock prices to eventually stabilize.

  • Thoughts on Stubbornly High Inflation and Our Outlook

    Stocks remain under pressure, with concerns centered on stubbornly high inflation. The longer inflation stays high, the more interest rate hikes the Federal Reserve might need to pursue, which could increase the chance of recession and lower corporate profits.

  • June Investment Perspectives

    Finding direction with manufacturing and services data, fixed income & economic growth, and issues facing stocks this summer.

  • Despite Recession Fears, a Path Still Exists for a Soft Economic Landing

    While market concerns remain focused on inflation and recession fears, the incoming data remains consistent with above-trend economic growth, with few odds of a near-term recession.

  • Economic Indicators Remain Positive with Further Signs of Peak Inflation

    While stocks staged a strong rebound last week, we continue to field concerns about the economy, inflation, and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes. We have the following observations regarding these concerns.

  • Thoughts on Valuation Compression, Recession Fears, and Market Volatility

    Stocks remain under pressure, and we see two major causes for this. The first is that valuation is compressing as interest rates move higher. The second is that higher interest rates could ultimately slow the economy to the point of recession, which would result in lower corporate profits. These sources of volatility are discussed below.

  • Portfolio Positioning for High Inflation

    Stocks remain volatile due to stubbornly high inflation readings that are leading to higher bond yields and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. In this environment, we are often asked what an investor can do to protect their portfolio’s future purchasing power.

  • Cybersecurity Update

    This paper reviews the critical aspects of cybersecurity and security spending.

  • We Continue to Advise Focusing on Long-term Investment Objectives

    Investor concern remains focused on high inflation readings, the Federal Reserve’s pursuit of higher interest rates to slow the economy and combat inflationary pressures, and the risk that this could push the economy into recession. All of this is outweighing the surprising strength of first-quarter earnings results and still positive economic growth indicators. We have the following observations as we continue to stress the importance of sticking with long-term investment plans.

  • Investor Focus Remains on Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    Stocks remain volatile with investor concern focused on surging bond yields, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and the potential for higher rates to ultimately lead to a significant economic slowdown. These concerns are outweighing still positive economic readings and healthy first-quarter earnings where results are exceeding expectations, which is leading to modest upward revisions for the remainder of 2022.

  • May Investment Perspectives

    Some things that could go right, a look at TIPS, and stocks and the midterms.

  • Midterm Elections and the Stock Market

    It feels like it was only yesterday that the equity market was fixated on an election but with midterm primary elections in sight followed by general elections in November, election issues again will command attention as the market tries to assess how the political winds might affect the economy. Stock market weakness in April increased attention on what the impact of the midterm elections might be.

  • These Aren’t the Hikes You’re Looking For

    A long time ago in an economic galaxy far, far away: The Federal Reserve raised their target for overnight interest rates by 50 basis points in one clip—the first time they’ve done so in decades.

  • Stocks Would Benefit From Reduced Inflation Uncertainty

    Stocks faced another challenging month in April with the S&P 500 Index down 8.7% for the month and down 12.9% for the year. High inflation readings and the amount of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes needed to tame inflation-driving demand remain the major sources of market uncertainty. The Ukraine crisis and China’s COVID lockdowns are also adding to the uncertain outlook.

  • Investment Perspectives: The stock market correction, cautious optimism on bonds, and market's needed consolidation

    Monthly commentary on timely investment and economic issues by Janney analysts Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas, and Gregory Drahuschak.

  • What to Expect as New Fed Tightening Cycle Begins

    The Federal Reserve raised its target for overnight interest rates in March 2022, triggering the first rate move since the COVID emergency cuts and the first tightening cycle since the one that began in December 2015.

  • Don’t Dismiss Stocks’ Potential Despite Rough Start

    Year-to-date by mid-March this year, the S&P 500 was down 11.2%, which was its fifth-worst start to a year. The common belief that when a year starts poorly the full-year result is poor prompted investor concerns. As typically is true in any assessment of how the stock market will react, reaching simplistic conclusions can be dangerous.

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