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  • The Market Selloff in Context

    The S&P 500 Index officially entered bear market territory last week, driven by concerns of slowing economic growth, persistently high inflation, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) determination to get it under control.

  • Thoughts on Stubbornly High Inflation and Our Outlook

    Stocks remain under pressure, with concerns centered on stubbornly high inflation. The longer inflation stays high, the more interest rate hikes the Federal Reserve might need to pursue, which could increase the chance of recession and lower corporate profits.

  • Despite Recession Fears, a Path Still Exists for a Soft Economic Landing

    While market concerns remain focused on inflation and recession fears, the incoming data remains consistent with above-trend economic growth, with few odds of a near-term recession.

  • Economic Indicators Remain Positive with Further Signs of Peak Inflation

    While stocks staged a strong rebound last week, we continue to field concerns about the economy, inflation, and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes. We have the following observations regarding these concerns.

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