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October 8, 2023
The U.S. economy has a good chance to experience a garden-variety slowdown over the next 12 months and a small but growing chance to experience a multi-year productivity boom. If there is a mild recession, interest rates should fall somewhat. By contrast, if productivity growth does indeed accelerate, there is a lot more room for interest rates to rise.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
October 5, 2023
In this issue of Investment Perspectives, we share why we believe the economic picture is still reasonably bright. We also look at how interest rates provide useful signals regarding economic conditions, and why various technical factors may provide the setting to increase equity exposure in October.
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Michael Halloran
September 26, 2023
We have the following thoughts on the potential government shutdown.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
September 11, 2023
In this issue we take a look at BRICS+ and potential investment opportunities, determine if bond market supply matters, and discuss why September is a more worrisome month for stocks than October.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
August 9, 2023
In the latest Investment Perspectives we discuss why GDP matters for investors, explore ways to structure a core holding of long-term bonds, and determine if the market can cast aside seasonal weakness and build on the July rally.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
July 11, 2023
We take a look at why China's economic recovery has struggled, the core-satellite method of portfolio construction, and how the recent tech-stock dominance offers a reminder of past performance.
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Mark Luschini and Guy LeBas
July 5, 2023
In our initial Outlook 2023 publication, we offered a thesis around the concept of two-way risk.
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Michael Halloran
June 26, 2023
ChatGPT is the fastest-growing technology application in history and is demonstrating the powerful potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to a very diverse audience.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
June 9, 2023
We examine the plausibility of avoiding a recession this year, what happens to the bond market now that the debt-ceiling saga ended, and what's expected to weigh on the stock market this month.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak
May 9, 2023
We examine why it has not looked like a recession yet, how the Fed policy tools have changed, and whether the stock market will remain resilient through the coming months.