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Markets and Elections: Could Three Be Charming Again?

by Gregory M. Drahuschak January 10, 2023
The 2020 presidential election is behind us as is the midterm election, but election influence could be a key element of the stock market again this year.

Each year of the presidential election cycle has unique aspects that set it apart from the other years, but historically the third year of the cycle is the most beneficial for investors.

Since 1930, in the 23 years of the election cycle, the third has had an encouraging record of producing positive results as the S&P 500 has been down in a third year only four times with an average gain for all 23 years of 13.51% and a median gain of 17.27%.

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This report is provided for informational and educational purposes only and shall in no event be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or a recommendation for any strategy or to buy, sell, or hold any product. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and do not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of individual investors. Employees of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC or its affiliates may, at times, release written or oral commentary, technical analysis, or trading strategies that differ from the opinions expressed here. The information described herein is taken from sources which we believe to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us. The opinions expressed herein may be given only such weight as opinions warrant. This Firm, its officers, directors, employees, or members of their families may have positions in the securities mentioned and may make purchases or sales of such securities from time to time in the open market or otherwise and may sell to or buy from customers such securities on a principal basis. This report is the intellectual property of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC (Janney) and may not be reproduced, distributed, or published by any person for any purpose without Janney’s prior written consent. This presentation has been prepared by Janney Investment Strategy Group (ISG) and is to be used for informational purposes only. In no event should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell a security. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance and future returns are not guaranteed. There are risks associated with investing in stocks such as a loss of original capital or a decrease in the value of your investment. For additional information or questions, please consult with your Financial Advisor.

About the author

Gregory M. Drahuschak

Equity Market Analyst, ISG

Read more from Gregory M. Drahuschak

Related Articles

Markets and Elections: Could Three Be Charming Again?

by Gregory M. Drahuschak January 10, 2023
The 2020 presidential election is behind us as is the midterm election, but election influence could be a key element of the stock market again this year.

Each year of the presidential election cycle has unique aspects that set it apart from the other years, but historically the third year of the cycle is the most beneficial for investors.

Since 1930, in the 23 years of the election cycle, the third has had an encouraging record of producing positive results as the S&P 500 has been down in a third year only four times with an average gain for all 23 years of 13.51% and a median gain of 17.27%.

Continue to read full PDF

This report is provided for informational and educational purposes only and shall in no event be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or a recommendation for any strategy or to buy, sell, or hold any product. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and do not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of individual investors. Employees of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC or its affiliates may, at times, release written or oral commentary, technical analysis, or trading strategies that differ from the opinions expressed here. The information described herein is taken from sources which we believe to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such information is not guaranteed by us. The opinions expressed herein may be given only such weight as opinions warrant. This Firm, its officers, directors, employees, or members of their families may have positions in the securities mentioned and may make purchases or sales of such securities from time to time in the open market or otherwise and may sell to or buy from customers such securities on a principal basis. This report is the intellectual property of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC (Janney) and may not be reproduced, distributed, or published by any person for any purpose without Janney’s prior written consent. This presentation has been prepared by Janney Investment Strategy Group (ISG) and is to be used for informational purposes only. In no event should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell a security. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance and future returns are not guaranteed. There are risks associated with investing in stocks such as a loss of original capital or a decrease in the value of your investment. For additional information or questions, please consult with your Financial Advisor.

About the author

Gregory M. Drahuschak

Equity Market Analyst, ISG

Read more from Gregory M. Drahuschak

Related Articles

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