• What to Consider as Debt-Ceiling Drama Unfolds

    There has been no shortage of media coverage on the debt ceiling lately.

  • Despite Delays, Debt-Ceiling Deal Still Progressing

    We continue to believe a debt-ceiling deal will be reached before Treasury Secretary Yellen’s stated debt-ceiling deadline of June 1st with progress being made, despite delays.

  • Too Much of a Good Thing

    The cap-weighted S&P 500 mostly has remained in a nine-month-long 3,800-4,200 trading range.

  • Further Progress on a Debt-Ceiling Deal

    We continue to believe a debt-ceiling deal will be reached in time to avoid a default and view Tuesday’s meeting between the principals as further progress.

  • Debt-Ceiling Lessons from 2011

    Doing the same thing over and over eventually wears anyone down. Nonetheless, for the 79th time in the past 83 years, the U.S. faces a decision about what to do with the federal debt ceiling.

  • Underlying Inflation Pressures Continue to Pose Market Headwind

    We continue to field questions about the debt ceiling, and we still believe a deal will be reached in time to avoid a default.

  • Economic Growth and Stubborn Inflation Justify Higher Interest Rates

    With inflation remaining stubbornly high, the Federal Reserve (Fed) once again raised interest rates by 0.25% at their just-concluded May meeting.

  • Republican Bill Moves Debt-Ceiling Process Forward

    Now that House Republicans passed the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023, which proposes to raise the nation’s $31.4 trillion borrowing limit in exchange for deep government spending cuts, we have the following thoughts.

  • Markets Enter May as Investors Assess Earnings, Data

    Since 1950, April typically produces the stock market’s second-best monthly result for the year. This year, it took a strong tech-led rally in the final two days of the month for the S&P 500 Index to post a gain.

  • Mixed Economic Signals Add to Uncertain Outlook

    While current indicators, including last week’s preliminary April business surveys, continue to indicate an expanding economy, we remain cautious on our outlook for stocks.

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