• New Fed Same As the Old Fed

    Data since the Federal Reserve last met has been largely positive on economic growth and expectedly warm on inflation.

  • Exit Stage Left

    Yielding to decades of precedent, the Fed has held that it should not react to swings in commodity prices but rather wait until evidence emerges one way or the other that broader price levels are rising. Unsurprisingly, language in the April FOMC statement emphasized the uncertain nature of energy price pass throughs, with the Committee emphasizing the phrase “Developments in the Middle East are contributing to a high level of uncertainty.”

  • The Penultimate Powell

    Today, at his penultimate FOMC meeting, Powell led the FOMC to leave overnight interest rates unchanged at a range of 3.50 – 3.75%, where they have been since December’s cut.

  • Final Countdown

    Fed Chair Jay Powell is in the final countdown of his tenure, with only two more FOMC meetings left, and the parlor game of betting on his successor is in full swing.

  • Ratcheting Up the Attacks

    The immediate situation is a developing one, and we suspect attempts to charge Jay Powell criminally will be unsuccessful, but the direction of increasing attacks on the Federal Reserve is clear.

 

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