• What to Consider as Debt-Ceiling Drama Unfolds

    There has been no shortage of media coverage on the debt ceiling lately.

  • Despite Delays, Debt-Ceiling Deal Still Progressing

    We continue to believe a debt-ceiling deal will be reached before Treasury Secretary Yellen’s stated debt-ceiling deadline of June 1st with progress being made, despite delays.

  • Too Much of a Good Thing

    The cap-weighted S&P 500 mostly has remained in a nine-month-long 3,800-4,200 trading range.

  • Further Progress on a Debt-Ceiling Deal

    We continue to believe a debt-ceiling deal will be reached in time to avoid a default and view Tuesday’s meeting between the principals as further progress.

  • Debt-Ceiling Lessons from 2011

    Doing the same thing over and over eventually wears anyone down. Nonetheless, for the 79th time in the past 83 years, the U.S. faces a decision about what to do with the federal debt ceiling.

  • Underlying Inflation Pressures Continue to Pose Market Headwind

    We continue to field questions about the debt ceiling, and we still believe a deal will be reached in time to avoid a default.

  • May Investment Perspectives

    We examine why it has not looked like a recession yet, how the Fed policy tools have changed, and whether the stock market will remain resilient through the coming months.

  • Economic Growth and Stubborn Inflation Justify Higher Interest Rates

    With inflation remaining stubbornly high, the Federal Reserve (Fed) once again raised interest rates by 0.25% at their just-concluded May meeting.

  • Once More into the Breach

    Once more into the breach, dear friends, once more: the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee raised its target for overnight interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 5.00–5.25%, capping a total of 5.00% of tightening in little more than a year.

  • Republican Bill Moves Debt-Ceiling Process Forward

    Now that House Republicans passed the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023, which proposes to raise the nation’s $31.4 trillion borrowing limit in exchange for deep government spending cuts, we have the following thoughts.

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