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Guy LeBas September 20, 2023
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee left its target for overnight interest rates unchanged at a range of 5.25 – 5.50%, continuing its every-other-meeting approach.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak September 11, 2023
In this issue we take a look at BRICS+ and potential investment opportunities, determine if bond market supply matters, and discuss why September is a more worrisome month for stocks than October.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak August 9, 2023
In the latest Investment Perspectives we discuss why GDP matters for investors, explore ways to structure a core holding of long-term bonds, and determine if the market can cast aside seasonal weakness and build on the July rally.
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Guy LeBas July 26, 2023
You’d be forgiven for experiencing de ja vu with regard to our FOMC note titles: this is the second time we’ve argued this is *probably* the last rate hike of the cycle. But this time it’s for real.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak July 11, 2023
We take a look at why China's economic recovery has struggled, the core-satellite method of portfolio construction, and how the recent tech-stock dominance offers a reminder of past performance.
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Mark Luschini and Guy LeBas July 5, 2023
In our initial Outlook 2023 publication, we offered a thesis around the concept of two-way risk.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak June 9, 2023
We examine the plausibility of avoiding a recession this year, what happens to the bond market now that the debt-ceiling saga ended, and what's expected to weigh on the stock market this month.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak May 9, 2023
We examine why it has not looked like a recession yet, how the Fed policy tools have changed, and whether the stock market will remain resilient through the coming months.
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Guy LeBas May 3, 2023
Once more into the breach, dear friends, once more: the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee raised its target for overnight interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 5.00–5.25%, capping a total of 5.00% of tightening in little more than a year.
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Mark Luschini, Guy LeBas and Gregory M. Drahuschak April 11, 2023
We examine whether the recent bank failures carry further implications for the economy, determine if the shape of the yield curve is a sign of an imminent recession, and share valuable lessons as the second quarter begins.