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  • The Case for a Soft Landing for the Economy

    Stocks remain under pressure, with concerns mounting that the Federal Reserve will be forced to raise interest rates to levels that cause a recession or other financial stress as credit gets restricted. These interest rate hikes are in response to stubbornly high inflation readings that are forcing the Fed to respond with higher rates that are designed to slow economic activity and reduce inflationary pressures.

  • In October, Let the Market be Your Guide

    Weak stock market performance in September is not unusual, as it is one of two months to post an average decline, but last month far exceeded its normal result by posting the third-worst result for the month in the past 72 years with a loss 2.5 times the average loss when the month ends lower.

  • Interest Rate Update: Bonds’ Big Moves

    Interest rates across countries have been moving up with unusual speed over the past four to six weeks, leading to sharp declines in the market values of a range of bonds. While 2022 has been one of the worst years for fixed income performance in memory, the activity of the past month stands out as uniquely stark.

  • Thoughts on Battle Between Inflation and the Federal Reserve

    Stocks are reacting negatively to the 0.75% interest rate increase after the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday, which included projections for interest rates to be higher for longer than many market participants expected. We have the following thoughts as this battle between the Federal Reserve and inflation continues.

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